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Some May Be Optimistic About JoyoungLtd's (SZSE:002242) Earnings

Some May Be Optimistic About JoyoungLtd's (SZSE:002242) Earnings

有些人可能对JoyoungLTD(深圳证券交易所:002242)的收益持乐观态度
Simply Wall St ·  04/24 18:32

The market for Joyoung Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:002242) shares didn't move much after it posted weak earnings recently. We think that the softer headline numbers might be getting counterbalanced by some positive underlying factors.

九阳公司的市场, Ltd(深圳证券交易所:002242)在最近公布疲软的收益后,其股价没有太大波动。我们认为,较疲软的标题数字可能会被一些积极的潜在因素所抵消。

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:002242 Earnings and Revenue History April 24th 2024
SZSE: 002242 2024 年 4 月 24 日的收益和收入历史记录

A Closer Look At JoyoungLtd's Earnings

仔细看看JoyoungLtd的收益

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

正如金融迷已经知道的那样,现金流的应计比率是评估公司自由现金流(FCF)与利润匹配程度的关键指标。应计比率从给定时期的利润中减去FCF,然后将结果除以该时间内公司的平均运营资产。这个比率告诉我们,一家公司的利润中有多少没有自由现金流的支持。

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

这意味着负应计比率是一件好事,因为它表明该公司带来的自由现金流比其利润所暗示的要多。虽然正应计比率表明非现金利润达到一定水平不是问题,但高应计比率可以说是一件坏事,因为它表明纸面利润与现金流不匹配。这是因为一些学术研究表明,高应计率往往会导致利润下降或利润增长减弱。

For the year to March 2024, JoyoungLtd had an accrual ratio of -0.33. That implies it has very good cash conversion, and that its earnings in the last year actually significantly understate its free cash flow. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN¥727m in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of CN¥397.6m. JoyoungLtd's free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see.

在截至2024年3月的一年中,JoyoungLtd的应计比率为-0.33。这意味着它的现金转化率非常好,而且其去年的收益实际上大大低估了其自由现金流。实际上,它去年的自由现金流为7.27亿元人民币,远远超过其3.976亿元的法定利润。JoyoungLtd的自由现金流比去年有所改善,总体而言,这是值得期待的。

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

这可能会让你想知道分析师对未来盈利能力的预测。幸运的是,您可以单击此处查看根据他们的估计描绘未来盈利能力的交互式图表。

Our Take On JoyoungLtd's Profit Performance

我们对JoyoungLtd盈利表现的看法

Happily for shareholders, JoyoungLtd produced plenty of free cash flow to back up its statutory profit numbers. Because of this, we think JoyoungLtd's underlying earnings potential is as good as, or possibly even better, than the statutory profit makes it seem! Unfortunately, though, its earnings per share actually fell back over the last year. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 1 warning sign with JoyoungLtd, and understanding this should be part of your investment process.

令股东高兴的是,JoyoungLtd产生了充足的自由现金流来支持其法定利润数字。正因为如此,我们认为JoyoungLtd的基础盈利潜力与法定利润看上去一样好,甚至可能更好!但不幸的是,其每股收益实际上在去年有所回落。归根结底,如果你想正确地了解公司,必须考虑的不仅仅是上述因素。因此,如果你想更深入地研究这只股票,那么考虑它面临的任何风险至关重要。在投资风险方面,我们已经向JoyoungLtd确定了1个警告信号,了解这应该是您投资过程的一部分。

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of JoyoungLtd's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

这份报告只研究了揭示JoyoungLtd利润性质的单一因素。但是,还有很多其他方法可以让你对公司的看法。例如,许多人认为高股本回报率是有利的商业经济的标志,而另一些人则喜欢 “关注资金”,寻找内部人士正在买入的股票。因此,你可能希望看到这份免费收藏的拥有高股本回报率的公司,或者这份内部人士正在购买的股票清单。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

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