BofA analysts screened S&P 500 (SP500) stocks that are most likely to beat and to miss their earnings expectations.
In BofA Securities’ 1Q Preview report, analysts selected stocks that are expected to beat and to miss expectations based on EPS, sales that are above and below consensus, their last quarter results, and the market’s fundamental opinion, including rating (buy or sell; perform or underperform).
These are the stocks that are likely to beat expectations (all buy-rated):
- Arch Capital Group Ltd. (ACGL) - BofA vs. Consensus EPS z-score: 0.4; sales z-score: 0.3
- Synopsys Inc. (SNPS) - BofA vs. Consensus EPS z-score: 0.7; sales z-score: 0.8
- Capital One Financial Corp. (COF) - BofA vs. Consensus EPS z-score: 0.2; sales z-score: 1.5
- Intercontinental Exchange Inc. (ICE) - BofA vs. Consensus EPS z-score: 1.7; sales z-score: 1.8
- Aflac Inc. (AFL) - BofA vs. Consensus EPS z-score: 1.8; sales z-score: 0.6
- Allstate Corp. (ALL) - BofA vs. Consensus EPS z-score: 1.6; sales z-score: 1.8
- Everest Group Ltd. (EG) - BofA vs. Consensus EPS z-score: 2; sales z-score: 1.6
- Northrop Grumman Corp. (NOC) - BofA vs. Consensus EPS z-score: 2.3; sales z-score: 2.8
- Gartner Inc. (IT) - BofA vs. Consensus EPS z-score: 0.6; sales z-score: 1.3
- Western Digital Corp. (WDC) - BofA vs. Consensus EPS z-score: 1.2; sales z-score: 1.6
- Vulcan Materials Co. (VMC) - BofA vs. Consensus EPS z-score: 1.2; sales z-score: 1.1
- Aptiv Plc (APTV) - BofA vs. Consensus EPS z-score: 1.8; sales z-score: 0.6
These are the stocks that are likely to miss expectations (all rated underperform):
- Carrier Global Corp. (CARR) - BofA vs. Consensus EPS z-score: -0.7; sales z-score: -0.5
- Enphase Energy Inc. (ENPH) - BofA vs. Consensus EPS z-score: -3.3; sales z-score: -0.8
- C.H. Robinson Worldwide Inc. (CHRW) - BofA vs. Consensus EPS z-score: -1.2; sales z-score: -0.5
- Henry Schein Inc. (HSIC) - BofA vs. Consensus EPS z-score: -2.7; sales z-score: -1.2