To the annoyance of some shareholders, WW International, Inc. (NASDAQ:WW) shares are down a considerable 48% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 61% share price decline.
After such a large drop in price, it would be understandable if you think WW International is a stock with good investment prospects with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 0.1x, considering almost half the companies in the United States' Consumer Services industry have P/S ratios above 1.3x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
What Does WW International's P/S Mean For Shareholders?
While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, WW International's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It seems that many are expecting the poor revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the P/S ratio. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on WW International.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, WW International would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 15%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 35% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 6.3% per year as estimated by the five analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 16% per year growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this in consideration, its clear as to why WW International's P/S is falling short industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
What We Can Learn From WW International's P/S?
WW International's P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
As we suspected, our examination of WW International's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with WW International (at least 1 which can't be ignored), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
If you're unsure about the strength of WW International's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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