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Anhui Chaoyue Environmental Protection Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:301049) Shares Climb 75% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 30 20:42

Anhui Chaoyue Environmental Protection Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301049) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 75% after a shaky period beforehand. Looking further back, the 22% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.

Since its price has surged higher, when almost half of the companies in China's Commercial Services industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.8x, you may consider Anhui Chaoyue Environmental Protection Technology as a stock not worth researching with its 10.3x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:301049 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 31st 2024

What Does Anhui Chaoyue Environmental Protection Technology's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Anhui Chaoyue Environmental Protection Technology has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this respectable revenue growth will be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Anhui Chaoyue Environmental Protection Technology's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Anhui Chaoyue Environmental Protection Technology's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 18% gain to the company's top line. Despite this strong recent growth, it's still struggling to catch up as its three-year revenue frustratingly shrank by 20% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenues over that time.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 29% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this information, we find it concerning that Anhui Chaoyue Environmental Protection Technology is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Final Word

Shares in Anhui Chaoyue Environmental Protection Technology have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Anhui Chaoyue Environmental Protection Technology currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Anhui Chaoyue Environmental Protection Technology that you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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