The Super Hi International Holding Ltd. (HKG:9658) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 28%. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 31% in the last twelve months.
Since its price has surged higher, given close to half the companies operating in Hong Kong's Hospitality industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.8x, you may consider Super Hi International Holding as a stock to potentially avoid with its 1.5x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
How Super Hi International Holding Has Been Performing
With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Super Hi International Holding has been relatively sluggish. It might be that many expect the uninspiring revenue performance to recover significantly, which has kept the P/S ratio from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.
Keen to find out how analysts think Super Hi International Holding's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Super Hi International Holding's to be considered reasonable.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 24% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 213% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 18% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 23%, which is noticeably more attractive.
With this in consideration, we believe it doesn't make sense that Super Hi International Holding's P/S is outpacing its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
What Does Super Hi International Holding's P/S Mean For Investors?
Super Hi International Holding shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've concluded that Super Hi International Holding currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its forecast growth is lower than the wider industry. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Super Hi International Holding with six simple checks on some of these key factors.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Super Hi國際控股有限公司(HKG: 9658)的股價在上個月表現良好,漲幅爲28%。並非所有股東都會感到歡欣鼓舞,因爲股價在過去十二個月中仍然下跌了令人失望的31%。
由於Super Hi International Holding的價格飆升,鑑於近一半在香港酒店業運營的公司的市銷率(或 “市銷率”)低於0.8倍,您可以考慮將Super Hi International Holding作爲可能避開的股票,其市銷率爲1.5倍。但是,市銷率之高可能是有原因的,需要進一步調查以確定其是否合理。
Super Hi國際控股的表現如何
由於最近的收入增長不如大多數其他公司,Super Hi International Holding一直相對疲軟。許多人可能預計,平淡無奇的收入表現將大幅恢復,這阻止了市銷率的暴跌。如果不是,那麼現有股東可能會對股價的可行性感到非常擔憂。
想了解分析師如何看待Super Hi International Holding的未來與該行業的對立嗎?在這種情況下,我們的免費報告是一個很好的起點。
收入預測與高市銷率相匹配嗎?
人們固有的假設是,如果像Super Hi International Holding這樣的市銷率被認爲是合理的,公司的表現應該優於該行業。