Investors Still Aren't Entirely Convinced By Cherish Sunshine International Limited's (HKG:1094) Revenues Despite 31% Price Jump

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 27 19:44

Those holding Cherish Sunshine International Limited (HKG:1094) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 31% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. But the last month did very little to improve the 57% share price decline over the last year.

Even after such a large jump in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Cherish Sunshine International's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.6x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Hong Kong's IT industry is similar at about 1.1x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

SEHK:1094 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 27th 2024

What Does Cherish Sunshine International's Recent Performance Look Like?

With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Cherish Sunshine International has been doing very well. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to taper off, which has kept the P/S from rising. Those who are bullish on Cherish Sunshine International will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Cherish Sunshine International's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Cherish Sunshine International?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Cherish Sunshine International's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 111% last year. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has ballooned by several orders of magnitude, thanks in part to the last 12 months of revenue growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 17% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it interesting that Cherish Sunshine International is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance is at its limits and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Final Word

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Cherish Sunshine International's P/S is back within range of the industry median. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We didn't quite envision Cherish Sunshine International's P/S sitting in line with the wider industry, considering the revenue growth over the last three-year is higher than the current industry outlook. When we see strong revenue with faster-than-industry growth, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/S ratio. While recent revenue trends over the past medium-term suggest that the risk of a price decline is low, investors appear to see the likelihood of revenue fluctuations in the future.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for Cherish Sunshine International (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Cherish Sunshine International, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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