Shareholders might have noticed that Q Technology (Group) Company Limited (HKG:1478) filed its full-year result this time last week. The early response was not positive, with shares down 8.9% to HK$2.97 in the past week. Results overall were not great, with earnings of CN¥0.069 per share falling drastically short of analyst expectations. Meanwhile revenues hit CN¥13b and were slightly better than forecasts. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. With this in mind, we've gathered the latest statutory forecasts to see what the analysts are expecting for next year.
Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Q Technology (Group) from twelve analysts is for revenues of CN¥13.8b in 2024. If met, it would imply a notable 9.9% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to jump 263% to CN¥0.25. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of CN¥13.2b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥0.27 in 2024. Overall it looks as though the analysts were a bit mixed on the latest results. Although there was a a notable to revenue, the consensus also made a minor downgrade to its earnings per share forecasts.
There's been no major changes to the price target of HK$3.84, suggesting that the impact of higher forecast revenue and lower earnings won't result in a meaningful change to the business' valuation. The consensus price target is just an average of individual analyst targets, so - it could be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. The most optimistic Q Technology (Group) analyst has a price target of HK$4.99 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at HK$2.99. As you can see, analysts are not all in agreement on the stock's future, but the range of estimates is still reasonably narrow, which could suggest that the outcome is not totally unpredictable.
One way to get more context on these forecasts is to look at how they compare to both past performance, and how other companies in the same industry are performing. The analysts are definitely expecting Q Technology (Group)'s growth to accelerate, with the forecast 9.9% annualised growth to the end of 2024 ranking favourably alongside historical growth of 3.8% per annum over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 12% per year. So it's clear that despite the acceleration in growth, Q Technology (Group) is expected to grow meaningfully slower than the industry average.
The Bottom Line
The biggest concern is that the analysts reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds could lay ahead for Q Technology (Group). Fortunately, they also upgraded their revenue estimates, although our data indicates it is expected to perform worse than the wider industry. The consensus price target held steady at HK$3.84, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.
Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Q Technology (Group) going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here..
You should always think about risks though. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Q Technology (Group) you should be aware of.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.