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Investors Still Aren't Entirely Convinced By Air T, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:AIRT) Revenues Despite 30% Price Jump

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 27 06:20

The Air T, Inc. (NASDAQ:AIRT) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 30%. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 3.8% in the last twelve months.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Air T's P/S ratio of 0.2x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Logistics industry in the United States is also close to 0.6x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGM:AIRT Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 27th 2024

What Does Air T's Recent Performance Look Like?

Revenue has risen firmly for Air T recently, which is pleasing to see. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think this respectable revenue growth might not be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders probably aren't too pessimistic about the future direction of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Air T's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Air T's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 29%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 49% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Comparing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory with the industry's one-year growth forecast of 3.4% shows it's noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's curious that Air T's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance is at its limits and have been accepting lower selling prices.

What Does Air T's P/S Mean For Investors?

Air T appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

To our surprise, Air T revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't contributing to its P/S as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current industry expectations. It'd be fair to assume that potential risks the company faces could be the contributing factor to the lower than expected P/S. It appears some are indeed anticipating revenue instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Air T has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit concerning) we think you should know about.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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