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Some Zangge Mining Company Limited (SZSE:000408) Analysts Just Made A Major Cut To Next Year's Estimates

Some Zangge Mining Company Limited (SZSE:000408) Analysts Just Made A Major Cut To Next Year's Estimates

一些藏格礦業有限公司(深圳證券交易所代碼:000408)分析師剛剛大幅下調了明年的預期
Simply Wall St ·  03/26 19:45

The latest analyst coverage could presage a bad day for Zangge Mining Company Limited (SZSE:000408), with the analysts making across-the-board cuts to their statutory estimates that might leave shareholders a little shell-shocked. Both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) forecasts went under the knife, suggesting the analysts have soured majorly on the business.

分析師的最新報道可能預示着藏格礦業有限公司(深圳證券交易所代碼:000408)將迎來糟糕的一天,分析師全面下調了法定估計,這可能會讓股東感到震驚。收入和每股收益(EPS)的預測都出現了偏差,這表明分析師對該業務的表現主要不佳。

After the downgrade, the consensus from Zangge Mining's four analysts is for revenues of CN¥3.4b in 2024, which would reflect a painful 35% decline in sales compared to the last year of performance. Statutory earnings per share are supposed to tumble 28% to CN¥1.56 in the same period. Prior to this update, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of CN¥6.1b and earnings per share (EPS) of CN¥2.68 in 2024. It looks like analyst sentiment has declined substantially, with a sizeable cut to revenue estimates and a pretty serious decline to earnings per share numbers as well.

下調評級後,藏格礦業的四位分析師一致認爲,2024年的收入爲34億元人民幣,這將反映出與去年業績相比銷售額下降了35%的慘痛。同期,法定每股收益預計將下降28%,至1.56元人民幣。在本次更新之前,分析師一直預測2024年的收入爲61億元人民幣,每股收益(EPS)爲2.68元人民幣。看來分析師的情緒已大幅下降,收入預期大幅下調,每股收益數字也嚴重下降。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:000408 Earnings and Revenue Growth March 26th 2024
SZSE: 000408 2024年3月26日收益和收入增長

Of course, another way to look at these forecasts is to place them into context against the industry itself. These estimates imply that sales are expected to slow, with a forecast annualised revenue decline of 35% by the end of 2024. This indicates a significant reduction from annual growth of 31% over the last five years. Compare this with our data, which suggests that other companies in the same industry are, in aggregate, expected to see their revenue grow 17% per year. So although its revenues are forecast to shrink, this cloud does not come with a silver lining - Zangge Mining is expected to lag the wider industry.

當然,看待這些預測的另一種方法是將它們與行業本身聯繫起來。這些估計表明,預計銷售將放緩,預計到2024年底,年化收入將下降35%。這表明與過去五年的31%的年增長率相比大幅下降。相比之下,我們的數據表明,總體而言,同一行業的其他公司的收入預計每年將增長17%。因此,儘管預計其收入將萎縮,但這種陰雲並沒有帶來一線希望——預計Zangge Mining將落後於整個行業。

The Bottom Line

底線

The biggest issue in the new estimates is that analysts have reduced their earnings per share estimates, suggesting business headwinds lay ahead for Zangge Mining. Unfortunately analysts also downgraded their revenue estimates, and industry data suggests that Zangge Mining's revenues are expected to grow slower than the wider market. After a cut like that, investors could be forgiven for thinking analysts are a lot more bearish on Zangge Mining, and a few readers might choose to steer clear of the stock.

新估計中最大的問題是,分析師下調了每股收益預期,這表明Zangge Mining面臨業務不利因素。不幸的是,分析師也下調了收入預期,行業數據表明,預計Zangge Mining的收入增長將低於整個市場。在這樣的下調之後,投資者認爲分析師對藏格礦業更加看跌是可以原諒的,一些讀者可能會選擇避開該股。

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have estimates - from multiple Zangge Mining analysts - going out to 2026, and you can see them free on our platform here.

話雖如此,公司收益的長期軌跡比明年重要得多。根據多位Zangge Mining分析師的估計,到2026年,你可以在我們的平台上免費查看。

Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks that insiders are buying.

當然,看到公司管理層將大量資金投資於股票與了解分析師是否在下調預期一樣有用。因此,您可能還希望搜索這份內部人士正在購買的免費股票清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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