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KAISA Jiayun Technology Inc.'s (SZSE:300242) 31% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Revenues

KAISA Jiayun Technology Inc.(SZSE:300242)の株価上昇率31%は収益との調和に欠けています。

Simply Wall St ·  03/26 19:00

Those holding KAISA Jiayun Technology Inc. (SZSE:300242) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 31% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. The bad news is that even after the stocks recovery in the last 30 days, shareholders are still underwater by about 8.2% over the last year.

Although its price has surged higher, it's still not a stretch to say that KAISA Jiayun Technology's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.2x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Media industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 2.7x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300242 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 26th 2024

What Does KAISA Jiayun Technology's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For instance, KAISA Jiayun Technology's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on KAISA Jiayun Technology's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For KAISA Jiayun Technology?

KAISA Jiayun Technology's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 62%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 84% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 20% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that KAISA Jiayun Technology's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

What Does KAISA Jiayun Technology's P/S Mean For Investors?

Its shares have lifted substantially and now KAISA Jiayun Technology's P/S is back within range of the industry median. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

Our look at KAISA Jiayun Technology revealed its shrinking revenues over the medium-term haven't impacted the P/S as much as we anticipated, given the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

Having said that, be aware KAISA Jiayun Technology is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on KAISA Jiayun Technology, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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