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Improved Revenues Required Before Triumph Group, Inc. (NYSE:TGI) Shares Find Their Feet

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 26 08:43

With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.8x Triumph Group, Inc. (NYSE:TGI) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Aerospace & Defense companies in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 2x and even P/S higher than 5x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NYSE:TGI Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 26th 2024

What Does Triumph Group's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Triumph Group certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the share price, and thus the P/S ratio. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Triumph Group will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Triumph Group?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Triumph Group would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 18% gain to the company's top line. Still, revenue has fallen 33% in total from three years ago, which is quite disappointing. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 1.4% per annum during the coming three years according to the six analysts following the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 8.3% growth each year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this in consideration, its clear as to why Triumph Group's P/S is falling short industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Triumph Group's P/S?

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As expected, our analysis of Triumph Group's analyst forecasts confirms that the company's underwhelming revenue outlook is a major contributor to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Triumph Group (1 is a bit unpleasant) you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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