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Revenues Not Telling The Story For Fennec Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NASDAQ:FENC) After Shares Rise 26%

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 22 06:11

Fennec Pharmaceuticals Inc. (NASDAQ:FENC) shares have had a really impressive month, gaining 26% after a shaky period beforehand. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 50% in the last year.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Fennec Pharmaceuticals' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 14.1x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Biotechs industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 15.4x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

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NasdaqCM:FENC Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 22nd 2024

How Fennec Pharmaceuticals Has Been Performing

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Fennec Pharmaceuticals has been doing relatively well. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to wane, which has kept the P/S ratio from rising. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.

Keen to find out how analysts think Fennec Pharmaceuticals' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Fennec Pharmaceuticals?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Fennec Pharmaceuticals would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company's revenues underwent some rampant growth over the last 12 months. The amazing performance means it was also able to deliver huge revenue growth over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a tremendous job of growing revenue over that time.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 65% per year during the coming three years according to the five analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 148% per annum growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Fennec Pharmaceuticals' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

What Does Fennec Pharmaceuticals' P/S Mean For Investors?

Fennec Pharmaceuticals appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our look at the analysts forecasts of Fennec Pharmaceuticals' revenue prospects has shown that its inferior revenue outlook isn't negatively impacting its P/S as much as we would have predicted. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. A positive change is needed in order to justify the current price-to-sales ratio.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Fennec Pharmaceuticals (of which 1 doesn't sit too well with us!) you should know about.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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