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What Anhui Xinke New Materials Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:600255) 27% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 20 18:24

Those holding Anhui Xinke New Materials Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600255) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 27% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 19% in the last twelve months.

Although its price has surged higher, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Anhui Xinke New MaterialsLtd's P/S ratio of 1.3x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Metals and Mining industry in China is also close to 1.4x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600255 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 20th 2024

What Does Anhui Xinke New MaterialsLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Anhui Xinke New MaterialsLtd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing revenue performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from falling. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Anhui Xinke New MaterialsLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Anhui Xinke New MaterialsLtd's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 7.9%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 28% overall rise in revenue. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 14% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's curious that Anhui Xinke New MaterialsLtd's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Anhui Xinke New MaterialsLtd's P/S

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Anhui Xinke New MaterialsLtd's P/S is back within range of the industry median. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We've established that Anhui Xinke New MaterialsLtd's average P/S is a bit surprising since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's hard to accept the current share price as fair value.

The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Take a look at our free balance sheet analysis for Anhui Xinke New MaterialsLtd with six simple checks on some of these key factors.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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