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Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Advanced Energy Industries, Inc. (NASDAQ:AEIS)?

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 20 08:39

It is hard to get excited after looking at Advanced Energy Industries' (NASDAQ:AEIS) recent performance, when its stock has declined 12% over the past three months. But if you pay close attention, you might gather that its strong financials could mean that the stock could potentially see an increase in value in the long-term, given how markets usually reward companies with good financial health. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Advanced Energy Industries' ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

How Is ROE Calculated?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Advanced Energy Industries is:

11% = US$131m ÷ US$1.1b (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2023).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. That means that for every $1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated $0.11 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

Advanced Energy Industries' Earnings Growth And 11% ROE

To start with, Advanced Energy Industries' ROE looks acceptable. And on comparing with the industry, we found that the the average industry ROE is similar at 10%. This probably goes some way in explaining Advanced Energy Industries' moderate 14% growth over the past five years amongst other factors.

Next, on comparing Advanced Energy Industries' net income growth with the industry, we found that the company's reported growth is similar to the industry average growth rate of 14% over the last few years.

past-earnings-growth
NasdaqGS:AEIS Past Earnings Growth March 20th 2024

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is Advanced Energy Industries fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Advanced Energy Industries Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Advanced Energy Industries' three-year median payout ratio to shareholders is 8.4% (implying that it retains 92% of its income), which is on the lower side, so it seems like the management is reinvesting profits heavily to grow its business.

Moreover, Advanced Energy Industries is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of three years of paying a dividend. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 6.9%. Accordingly, forecasts suggest that Advanced Energy Industries' future ROE will be 11% which is again, similar to the current ROE.

Conclusion

Overall, we are quite pleased with Advanced Energy Industries' performance. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business, and at a high rate of return. Unsurprisingly, this has led to an impressive earnings growth. On studying current analyst estimates, we found that analysts expect the company to continue its recent growth streak. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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