When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 16x, you may consider Savers Value Village, Inc. (NYSE:SVV) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 54.1x P/E ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
With earnings that are retreating more than the market's of late, Savers Value Village has been very sluggish. It might be that many expect the dismal earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be very nervous about the viability of the share price.
Is There Enough Growth For Savers Value Village?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Savers Value Village would need to produce outstanding growth well in excess of the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 41% decrease to the company's bottom line. Unfortunately, that's brought it right back to where it started three years ago with EPS growth being virtually non-existent overall during that time. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 21% each year during the coming three years according to the nine analysts following the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 10% per annum, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
In light of this, it's understandable that Savers Value Village's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
What We Can Learn From Savers Value Village's P/E?
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that Savers Value Village maintains its high P/E on the strength of its forecast growth being higher than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 3 warning signs for Savers Value Village (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Savers Value Village. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.