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There's No Escaping IDreamSky Technology Holdings Limited's (HKG:1119) Muted Revenues Despite A 37% Share Price Rise

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 16 21:05

Those holding iDreamSky Technology Holdings Limited (HKG:1119) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 37% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 42% in the last twelve months.

Although its price has surged higher, iDreamSky Technology Holdings may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.2x, since almost half of all companies in the Entertainment industry in Hong Kong have P/S ratios greater than 1.8x and even P/S higher than 4x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1119 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 17th 2024

How Has iDreamSky Technology Holdings Performed Recently?

iDreamSky Technology Holdings could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this poor revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Keen to find out how analysts think iDreamSky Technology Holdings' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For iDreamSky Technology Holdings?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as iDreamSky Technology Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 6.7%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 16% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the dual analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 16% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 45%, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we can see why iDreamSky Technology Holdings is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Final Word

iDreamSky Technology Holdings' stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As we suspected, our examination of iDreamSky Technology Holdings' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for iDreamSky Technology Holdings that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of iDreamSky Technology Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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