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Investors Give Fameglow Holdings Limited (HKG:8603) Shares A 32% Hiding

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 15 18:00

Fameglow Holdings Limited (HKG:8603) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 32% share price drop in the last month. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 35% in that time.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Fameglow Holdings' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.2x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Hong Kong's Consumer Services industry is similar at about 1.3x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:8603 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 15th 2024

What Does Fameglow Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Fameglow Holdings certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing its revenue at a really rapid pace. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to taper off, which has kept the P/S from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Fameglow Holdings, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Fameglow Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Fameglow Holdings' is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 50%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 245% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 19% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this information, we find it interesting that Fameglow Holdings is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Fameglow Holdings' P/S?

Following Fameglow Holdings' share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Fameglow Holdings currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. When we see strong revenue with faster-than-industry growth, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/S ratio. While recent revenue trends over the past medium-term suggest that the risk of a price decline is low, investors appear to see the likelihood of revenue fluctuations in the future.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Fameglow Holdings you should know about.

If you're unsure about the strength of Fameglow Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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