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Optimistic Investors Push Arhaus, Inc. (NASDAQ:ARHS) Shares Up 26% But Growth Is Lacking

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 14 06:55

Despite an already strong run, Arhaus, Inc. (NASDAQ:ARHS) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 26% in the last thirty days. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 86% in the last year.

Even after such a large jump in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Arhaus' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 17.9x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in the United States, where the median P/E ratio is around 17x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.

Arhaus has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the dismal earnings performance to revert back to market averages soon, which has kept the P/E from falling. You'd much rather the company wasn't bleeding earnings if you still believe in the business. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:ARHS Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 14th 2024
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Arhaus will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Does Growth Match The P/E?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the market for P/E ratios like Arhaus' to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 9.2%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 2,993% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 1.9% each year during the coming three years according to the nine analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 10% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we find it interesting that Arhaus is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

What We Can Learn From Arhaus' P/E?

Arhaus' stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/E level with the market. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We've established that Arhaus currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with Arhaus.

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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