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Jiangsu Sainty Corp., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600287) 29% Share Price Surge Not Quite Adding Up

江蘇セイティ株式会社(SHSE:600287)の株価が29%急騰しても、まだまだ加算されていない

Simply Wall St ·  03/08 17:33

Those holding Jiangsu Sainty Corp., Ltd. (SHSE:600287) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 29% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 15% over that time.

Although its price has surged higher, it's still not a stretch to say that Jiangsu Sainty's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.6x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Trade Distributors industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.7x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600287 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 8th 2024

What Does Jiangsu Sainty's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Jiangsu Sainty over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing revenue performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from falling. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Jiangsu Sainty's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Jiangsu Sainty?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Jiangsu Sainty's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 20%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 16% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 17% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this information, we find it concerning that Jiangsu Sainty is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

Jiangsu Sainty appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump bringing its P/S back in line with other companies in the industry Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

We find it unexpected that Jiangsu Sainty trades at a P/S ratio that is comparable to the rest of the industry, despite experiencing declining revenues during the medium-term, while the industry as a whole is expected to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Jiangsu Sainty (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that we have uncovered.

If you're unsure about the strength of Jiangsu Sainty's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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