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There's Reason For Concern Over Hangzhou Mdk Opto Electronics Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:688079) Massive 35% Price Jump

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 8 17:35

Those holding Hangzhou Mdk Opto Electronics Co.,Ltd (SHSE:688079) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 35% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 26% in the last twelve months.

After such a large jump in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Hangzhou Mdk Opto ElectronicsLtd is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 10.3x, considering almost half the companies in China's Electronic industry have P/S ratios below 3.7x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:688079 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 8th 2024

What Does Hangzhou Mdk Opto ElectronicsLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Hangzhou Mdk Opto ElectronicsLtd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Hangzhou Mdk Opto ElectronicsLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Hangzhou Mdk Opto ElectronicsLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 22%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 24% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 25% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Hangzhou Mdk Opto ElectronicsLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

What Does Hangzhou Mdk Opto ElectronicsLtd's P/S Mean For Investors?

Hangzhou Mdk Opto ElectronicsLtd's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Hangzhou Mdk Opto ElectronicsLtd currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Hangzhou Mdk Opto ElectronicsLtd, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Hangzhou Mdk Opto ElectronicsLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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