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LAY-OUT Planning Consultants Co. Ltd.'s (SZSE:300989) 43% Price Boost Is Out Of Tune With Revenues

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 8 17:15

LAY-OUT Planning Consultants Co. Ltd. (SZSE:300989) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 43% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 15% in the last twelve months.

After such a large jump in price, given around half the companies in China's Professional Services industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.9x, you may consider LAY-OUT Planning Consultants as a stock to avoid entirely with its 5.4x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300989 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 8th 2024

How Has LAY-OUT Planning Consultants Performed Recently?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at LAY-OUT Planning Consultants over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on LAY-OUT Planning Consultants will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For LAY-OUT Planning Consultants?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, LAY-OUT Planning Consultants would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 4.4% decrease to the company's top line. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 13% overall rise in revenue. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 91% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we find it concerning that LAY-OUT Planning Consultants is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Final Word

LAY-OUT Planning Consultants' P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

The fact that LAY-OUT Planning Consultants currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 4 warning signs for LAY-OUT Planning Consultants (2 make us uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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