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Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About China World Trade Center Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600007)?

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 7 18:01

China World Trade Center (SHSE:600007) has had a rough three months with its share price down 6.7%. But if you pay close attention, you might gather that its strong financials could mean that the stock could potentially see an increase in value in the long-term, given how markets usually reward companies with good financial health. In this article, we decided to focus on China World Trade Center's ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. Simply put, it is used to assess the profitability of a company in relation to its equity capital.

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

The formula for ROE is:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for China World Trade Center is:

13% = CN¥1.2b ÷ CN¥9.4b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.13 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

China World Trade Center's Earnings Growth And 13% ROE

To begin with, China World Trade Center seems to have a respectable ROE. Further, the company's ROE compares quite favorably to the industry average of 5.5%. This certainly adds some context to China World Trade Center's decent 8.8% net income growth seen over the past five years.

Given that the industry shrunk its earnings at a rate of 5.2% over the last few years, the net income growth of the company is quite impressive.

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:600007 Past Earnings Growth March 7th 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Is 600007 fairly valued? This infographic on the company's intrinsic value has everything you need to know.

Is China World Trade Center Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

While China World Trade Center has a three-year median payout ratio of 56% (which means it retains 44% of profits), the company has still seen a fair bit of earnings growth in the past, meaning that its high payout ratio hasn't hampered its ability to grow.

Additionally, China World Trade Center has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years which means that the company is pretty serious about sharing its profits with shareholders. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 64%. Accordingly, forecasts suggest that China World Trade Center's future ROE will be 14% which is again, similar to the current ROE.

Summary

In total, we are pretty happy with China World Trade Center's performance. In particular, its high ROE is quite noteworthy and also the probable explanation behind its considerable earnings growth. Yet, the company is retaining a small portion of its profits. Which means that the company has been able to grow its earnings in spite of it, so that's not too bad. On studying current analyst estimates, we found that analysts expect the company to continue its recent growth streak. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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