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Some Confidence Is Lacking In Morris Home Holdings Limited (HKG:1575) As Shares Slide 42%

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 7 17:13

The Morris Home Holdings Limited (HKG:1575) share price has softened a substantial 42% over the previous 30 days, handing back much of the gains the stock has made lately. The recent drop has obliterated the annual return, with the share price now down 4.2% over that longer period.

Even after such a large drop in price, given around half the companies in Hong Kong's Consumer Durables industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 0.5x, you may still consider Morris Home Holdings as a stock to avoid entirely with its 2.7x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1575 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 7th 2024

What Does Morris Home Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Morris Home Holdings over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Morris Home Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Morris Home Holdings would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 41%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 76% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 34% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

In light of this, it's alarming that Morris Home Holdings' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Morris Home Holdings' P/S

Even after such a strong price drop, Morris Home Holdings' P/S still exceeds the industry median significantly. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Morris Home Holdings currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 5 warning signs for Morris Home Holdings you should be aware of, and 4 of them can't be ignored.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Morris Home Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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