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Optimistic Investors Push Cloud Live Technology Group Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002306) Shares Up 43% But Growth Is Lacking

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 7 17:19

Cloud Live Technology Group Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002306) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 43% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 21% over that time.

Since its price has surged higher, Cloud Live Technology GroupLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 16x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to other companies in the Entertainment industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios below 7x and even P/S below 3x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002306 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 7th 2024

How Has Cloud Live Technology GroupLtd Performed Recently?

Cloud Live Technology GroupLtd certainly has been doing a great job lately as it's been growing its revenue at a really rapid pace. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to outperform the wider market, which has seemingly got people interested in the stock. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Cloud Live Technology GroupLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Cloud Live Technology GroupLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Cloud Live Technology GroupLtd's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 57%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 61% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 34% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Cloud Live Technology GroupLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Final Word

Shares in Cloud Live Technology GroupLtd have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of Cloud Live Technology GroupLtd revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Cloud Live Technology GroupLtd that you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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