share_log

Optimistic Investors Push Ningbo Ligong Environment And Energy Technology Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002322) Shares Up 31% But Growth Is Lacking

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 6 19:15

Those holding Ningbo Ligong Environment And Energy Technology Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002322) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 31% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Unfortunately, despite the strong performance over the last month, the full year gain of 6.1% isn't as attractive.

After such a large jump in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Ningbo Ligong Environment And Energy TechnologyLtd is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 4.4x, considering almost half the companies in China's Electrical industry have P/S ratios below 2.1x. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002322 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 7th 2024

How Has Ningbo Ligong Environment And Energy TechnologyLtd Performed Recently?

Revenue has risen at a steady rate over the last year for Ningbo Ligong Environment And Energy TechnologyLtd, which is generally not a bad outcome. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance is strong enough to outperform the industry, which has inflated the P/S ratio. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Ningbo Ligong Environment And Energy TechnologyLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Ningbo Ligong Environment And Energy TechnologyLtd would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company managed to grow revenues by a handy 3.8% last year. Still, lamentably revenue has fallen 3.0% in aggregate from three years ago, which is disappointing. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 26% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we find it concerning that Ningbo Ligong Environment And Energy TechnologyLtd is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Final Word

The strong share price surge has lead to Ningbo Ligong Environment And Energy TechnologyLtd's P/S soaring as well. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Ningbo Ligong Environment And Energy TechnologyLtd revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - Ningbo Ligong Environment And Energy TechnologyLtd has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
    Write a comment