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Shenzhen Sunmoon Microelectronics Co., Ltd's (SHSE:688699) Share Price Boosted 34% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 6 18:34

Shenzhen Sunmoon Microelectronics Co., Ltd (SHSE:688699) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 34% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 46% over that time.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, Shenzhen Sunmoon Microelectronics may still be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 5.1x, considering almost half of all companies in the Semiconductor industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 6.5x and even P/S higher than 12x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:688699 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 6th 2024

What Does Shenzhen Sunmoon Microelectronics' Recent Performance Look Like?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Shenzhen Sunmoon Microelectronics over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. Those who are bullish on Shenzhen Sunmoon Microelectronics will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Shenzhen Sunmoon Microelectronics will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Shenzhen Sunmoon Microelectronics' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 5.7%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 23% overall rise in revenue. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 37% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this in consideration, it's easy to understand why Shenzhen Sunmoon Microelectronics' P/S falls short of the mark set by its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Shenzhen Sunmoon Microelectronics' P/S?

Despite Shenzhen Sunmoon Microelectronics' share price climbing recently, its P/S still lags most other companies. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

As we suspected, our examination of Shenzhen Sunmoon Microelectronics revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its low P/S, given they look worse than current industry expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Shenzhen Sunmoon Microelectronics (at least 2 which are a bit unpleasant), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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