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Ningxia Qinglong Pipes Industry Group Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002457) Shares Climb 30% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 6 18:18

Ningxia Qinglong Pipes Industry Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002457) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 30% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 8.7% in the last twelve months.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Ningxia Qinglong Pipes Industry Group's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 28.6x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in China, where the median P/E ratio is around 30x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

For example, consider that Ningxia Qinglong Pipes Industry Group's financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to put the disappointing earnings performance behind them over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from falling. If you like the company, you'd at least be hoping this is the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002457 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 6th 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Ningxia Qinglong Pipes Industry Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Some Growth For Ningxia Qinglong Pipes Industry Group?

Ningxia Qinglong Pipes Industry Group's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the market.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 36%. Regardless, EPS has managed to lift by a handy 5.3% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 41% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.

In light of this, it's curious that Ningxia Qinglong Pipes Industry Group's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Ningxia Qinglong Pipes Industry Group's P/E?

Ningxia Qinglong Pipes Industry Group appears to be back in favour with a solid price jump getting its P/E back in line with most other companies. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Ningxia Qinglong Pipes Industry Group revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted, given they look worse than current market expectations. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with Ningxia Qinglong Pipes Industry Group.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Ningxia Qinglong Pipes Industry Group. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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