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There's Reason For Concern Over Qingdao Eastsoft Communication Technology Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:300183) Massive 39% Price Jump

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 6 17:04

Those holding Qingdao Eastsoft Communication Technology Co.,Ltd (SZSE:300183) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 39% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 29% in the last twelve months.

After such a large jump in price, given around half the companies in China have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 29x, you may consider Qingdao Eastsoft Communication TechnologyLtd as a stock to potentially avoid with its 40.9x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

For example, consider that Qingdao Eastsoft Communication TechnologyLtd's financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300183 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry March 6th 2024
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Qingdao Eastsoft Communication TechnologyLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Qingdao Eastsoft Communication TechnologyLtd would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 11%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 30% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 41% shows it's an unpleasant look.

In light of this, it's alarming that Qingdao Eastsoft Communication TechnologyLtd's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Key Takeaway

The large bounce in Qingdao Eastsoft Communication TechnologyLtd's shares has lifted the company's P/E to a fairly high level. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of Qingdao Eastsoft Communication TechnologyLtd revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Qingdao Eastsoft Communication TechnologyLtd has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Qingdao Eastsoft Communication TechnologyLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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