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Optimistic Investors Push Tangel Culture Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300148) Shares Up 27% But Growth Is Lacking

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 6 17:07

Tangel Culture Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300148) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 27% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 12% in the last twelve months.

Following the firm bounce in price, given around half the companies in China's Media industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.6x, you may consider Tangel Culture as a stock to avoid entirely with its 5.3x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300148 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 6th 2024

How Has Tangel Culture Performed Recently?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Tangel Culture over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Tangel Culture's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Tangel Culture?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Tangel Culture's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 2.9% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 52% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 20% shows it's an unpleasant look.

In light of this, it's alarming that Tangel Culture's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Tangel Culture's P/S

Tangel Culture's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We've established that Tangel Culture currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Tangel Culture with six simple checks.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Tangel Culture, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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