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Aligos Therapeutics, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:ALGS) Share Price Boosted 45% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 6 14:41

The Aligos Therapeutics, Inc. (NASDAQ:ALGS) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 45%. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 31% over that time.

Although its price has surged higher, Aligos Therapeutics may still look like a strong buying opportunity at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 4.8x, considering almost half of all companies in the Biotechs industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 15.2x and even P/S higher than 75x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

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NasdaqCM:ALGS Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 6th 2024

How Aligos Therapeutics Has Been Performing

Recent times haven't been great for Aligos Therapeutics as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the uninspiring revenue performance to persist, which has repressed the growth of the P/S ratio. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping revenue doesn't get any worse and that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Aligos Therapeutics will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Aligos Therapeutics would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 53% gain to the company's top line. Still, revenue has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to slump, contracting by 100% each year during the coming three years according to the dual analysts following the company. That's not great when the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 267% per year.

In light of this, it's understandable that Aligos Therapeutics' P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

What We Can Learn From Aligos Therapeutics' P/S?

Aligos Therapeutics' recent share price jump still sees fails to bring its P/S alongside the industry median. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

With revenue forecasts that are inferior to the rest of the industry, it's no surprise that Aligos Therapeutics' P/S is on the lower end of the spectrum. As other companies in the industry are forecasting revenue growth, Aligos Therapeutics' poor outlook justifies its low P/S ratio. Unless there's material change, it's hard to envision a situation where the stock price will rise drastically.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 4 warning signs with Aligos Therapeutics (at least 1 which is a bit concerning), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Aligos Therapeutics, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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