MaxLinear, Inc. (NASDAQ:MXL) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 14% in the last month. But that is minimal compensation for the share price under-performance over the last year. In fact the stock is down 41% in the last year, well below the market return.
Although the past week has been more reassuring for shareholders, they're still in the red over the last year, so let's see if the underlying business has been responsible for the decline.
MaxLinear wasn't profitable in the last twelve months, it is unlikely we'll see a strong correlation between its share price and its earnings per share (EPS). Arguably revenue is our next best option. Shareholders of unprofitable companies usually expect strong revenue growth. As you can imagine, fast revenue growth, when maintained, often leads to fast profit growth.
In just one year MaxLinear saw its revenue fall by 38%. That looks pretty grim, at a glance. Shareholders have seen the share price drop 41% in that time. What would you expect when revenue is falling, and it doesn't make a profit? It's hard to escape the conclusion that buyers must envision either growth down the track, cost cutting, or both.
The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
MaxLinear is well known by investors, and plenty of clever analysts have tried to predict the future profit levels. If you are thinking of buying or selling MaxLinear stock, you should check out this free report showing analyst consensus estimates for future profits.
A Different Perspective
Investors in MaxLinear had a tough year, with a total loss of 41%, against a market gain of about 29%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 4% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand MaxLinear better, we need to consider many other factors. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for MaxLinear that you should be aware of.
We will like MaxLinear better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.