Shandong Humon Smelting Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002237) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 13% in the last month. If you look at the last three years, the stock price is down. But that's not so bad when you consider its market is down 19%.
While the stock has risen 5.1% in the past week but long term shareholders are still in the red, let's see what the fundamentals can tell us.
To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
During the unfortunate three years of share price decline, Shandong Humon Smelting actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 15% per year. Given the share price reaction, one might suspect that EPS is not a good guide to the business performance during the period (perhaps due to a one-off loss or gain). Or else the company was over-hyped in the past, and so its growth has disappointed.
It's worth taking a look at other metrics, because the EPS growth doesn't seem to match with the falling share price.
Revenue is actually up 19% over the three years, so the share price drop doesn't seem to hinge on revenue, either. It's probably worth investigating Shandong Humon Smelting further; while we may be missing something on this analysis, there might also be an opportunity.
You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
If you are thinking of buying or selling Shandong Humon Smelting stock, you should check out this FREE detailed report on its balance sheet.
A Different Perspective
While it's never nice to take a loss, Shandong Humon Smelting shareholders can take comfort that their trailing twelve month loss of 13% wasn't as bad as the market loss of around 16%. Of course, the long term returns are far more important and the good news is that over five years, the stock has returned 0.5% for each year. It could be that the business is just facing some short term problems, but shareholders should keep a close eye on the fundamentals. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Shandong Humon Smelting better, we need to consider many other factors. Like risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Shandong Humon Smelting (of which 1 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about.
Of course Shandong Humon Smelting may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.