With a median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of close to 9x in Hong Kong, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about China Chunlai Education Group Co., Ltd.'s (HKG:1969) P/E ratio of 8.3x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/E without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
Earnings have risen firmly for China Chunlai Education Group recently, which is pleasing to see. It might be that many expect the respectable earnings performance to wane, which has kept the P/E from rising. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders probably aren't too pessimistic about the future direction of the share price.
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/E?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like China Chunlai Education Group's is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 24%. Pleasingly, EPS has also lifted 384% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 23% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
In light of this, it's curious that China Chunlai Education Group's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.
The Key Takeaway
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our examination of China Chunlai Education Group revealed its three-year earnings trends aren't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current market expectations. There could be some unobserved threats to earnings preventing the P/E ratio from matching this positive performance. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because the persistence of these recent medium-term conditions would normally provide a boost to the share price.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for China Chunlai Education Group you should know about.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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