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There's Reason For Concern Over Vimeo, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:VMEO) Massive 26% Price Jump

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 2 09:38

Vimeo, Inc. (NASDAQ:VMEO) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 26% gain in the last month alone. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 28% in the last year.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Vimeo's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Interactive Media and Services industry in the United States, where the median P/S ratio is around 1.9x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.

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NasdaqGS:VMEO Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 2nd 2024

How Has Vimeo Performed Recently?

Vimeo hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is moderate because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn around. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Vimeo will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Vimeo?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Vimeo's to be considered reasonable.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 3.7% decrease to the company's top line. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 47% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the six analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 1.9% per year over the next three years. With the industry predicted to deliver 12% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

In light of this, it's curious that Vimeo's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

The Bottom Line On Vimeo's P/S

Its shares have lifted substantially and now Vimeo's P/S is back within range of the industry median. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Given that Vimeo's revenue growth projections are relatively subdued in comparison to the wider industry, it comes as a surprise to see it trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Circumstances like this present a risk to current and prospective investors who may see share prices fall if the low revenue growth impacts the sentiment.

Many other vital risk factors can be found on the company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Vimeo with six simple checks.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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