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There's Reason For Concern Over QuickLogic Corporation's (NASDAQ:QUIK) Massive 26% Price Jump

Simply Wall St ·  Mar 1 05:17

QuickLogic Corporation (NASDAQ:QUIK) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 26% share price jump in the last month. The last month tops off a massive increase of 163% in the last year.

Since its price has surged higher, QuickLogic's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 9.9x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to other companies in the Semiconductor industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios below 4.1x and even P/S below 1.8x are quite common. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

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NasdaqCM:QUIK Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 1st 2024

How QuickLogic Has Been Performing

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, QuickLogic has been relatively sluggish. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to undergo a reversal of fortunes, which has elevated the P/S ratio. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on QuickLogic.

How Is QuickLogic's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as QuickLogic's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 31% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 146% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 30% as estimated by the dual analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 42% growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's alarming that QuickLogic's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What Does QuickLogic's P/S Mean For Investors?

Shares in QuickLogic have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

It comes as a surprise to see QuickLogic trade at such a high P/S given the revenue forecasts look less than stellar. When we see a weak revenue outlook, we suspect the share price faces a much greater risk of declining, bringing back down the P/S figures. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for QuickLogic that you need to take into consideration.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
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