Shenzhen Envicool Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002837) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 27% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Notwithstanding the latest gain, the annual share price return of 3.6% isn't as impressive.
Since its price has surged higher, Shenzhen Envicool Technology's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 39.3x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 28x and even P/E's below 17x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
Shenzhen Envicool Technology certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. It seems that many are expecting the company to continue defying the broader market adversity, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
Is There Enough Growth For Shenzhen Envicool Technology?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as high as Shenzhen Envicool Technology's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 113%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 99% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 43% as estimated by the twelve analysts watching the company. With the market predicted to deliver 41% growth , the company is positioned for a comparable earnings result.
With this information, we find it interesting that Shenzhen Envicool Technology is trading at a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the share price eventually.
The Key Takeaway
Shenzhen Envicool Technology shares have received a push in the right direction, but its P/E is elevated too. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
We've established that Shenzhen Envicool Technology currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is only in line with the wider market. Right now we are uncomfortable with the relatively high share price as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Shenzhen Envicool Technology that you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Shenzhen Envicool Technology's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.