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There's Reason For Concern Over Wondershare Technology Group Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300624) Massive 26% Price Jump

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 28 17:48

Wondershare Technology Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300624) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 26% share price jump in the last month. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 96%.

Following the firm bounce in price, you could be forgiven for thinking Wondershare Technology Group is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 9.4x, considering almost half the companies in China's Software industry have P/S ratios below 5.4x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300624 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 28th 2024

How Has Wondershare Technology Group Performed Recently?

Wondershare Technology Group certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the strong revenue performance to persist, which has raised the P/S. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Wondershare Technology Group.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Wondershare Technology Group?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Wondershare Technology Group's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 29%. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 58% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 28% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 33%, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we find it concerning that Wondershare Technology Group is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

Wondershare Technology Group's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

It comes as a surprise to see Wondershare Technology Group trade at such a high P/S given the revenue forecasts look less than stellar. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Wondershare Technology Group has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is concerning) we think you should know about.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Wondershare Technology Group, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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