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Yuhuan CNC Machine ToolLtd (SZSE:002903) Investors Are up 25% in the Past Week, but Earnings Have Declined Over the Last Three Years

Yuhuan CNC Machine ToolLtd (SZSE:002903) Investors Are up 25% in the Past Week, but Earnings Have Declined Over the Last Three Years

玉环数控机床有限公司(深圳证券交易所:002903)投资者在过去一周上涨了25%,但在过去三年中收益有所下降
Simply Wall St ·  02/28 02:59

While Yuhuan CNC Machine Tool Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002903) shareholders are probably generally happy, the stock hasn't had particularly good run recently, with the share price falling 20% in the last quarter. But that shouldn't obscure the pleasing returns achieved by shareholders over the last three years. To wit, the share price did better than an index fund, climbing 53% during that period.

而玉环数控机床有限公司, Ltd.(深圳证券交易所:002903)股东们可能普遍感到高兴,该股最近表现不佳,上个季度股价下跌了20%。但这不应掩盖股东在过去三年中获得的丰厚回报。换句话说,股价表现要好于指数基金,在此期间上涨了53%。

Since it's been a strong week for Yuhuan CNC Machine ToolLtd shareholders, let's have a look at trend of the longer term fundamentals.

由于对玉环数控机床有限公司股东来说,这是强劲的一周,让我们来看看长期基本面的走势。

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

用本杰明·格雷厄姆的话来说:从短期来看,市场是一台投票机器,但从长远来看,它是一台称重机。研究市场情绪如何随着时间的推移而变化的一种方法是研究公司股价与其每股收益(EPS)之间的相互作用。

During the three years of share price growth, Yuhuan CNC Machine ToolLtd actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) drop 7.1% per year.

在股价增长的三年中,玉环数控机床有限公司的每股收益(EPS)实际上每年下降7.1%。

So we doubt that the market is looking to EPS for its main judge of the company's value. Given this situation, it makes sense to look at other metrics too.

因此,我们怀疑市场是否将每股收益作为其对公司价值的主要判断。鉴于这种情况,也应该考虑其他指标。

Languishing at just 0.8%, we doubt the dividend is doing much to prop up the share price. We severely doubt anyone is particularly impressed with the modest 1.8% three-year revenue growth rate. While we don't have an obvious theory to explain the share price rise, a closer look at the data might be enlightening.

股息仅为0.8%,我们怀疑股息是否能在支撑股价方面起到多大作用。我们非常怀疑任何人对1.8%的三年收入增长率给任何人留下特别深刻的印象。尽管我们没有明显的理论可以解释股价上涨,但仔细研究数据可能会有所启发。

The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).

下图描述了收入和收入随时间推移而发生的变化(点击图片即可显示确切的数值)。

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SZSE:002903 Earnings and Revenue Growth February 28th 2024
SZSE: 002903 收益和收入增长 2024 年 2 月 28 日

You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.

您可以在这张免费的交互式图片中看到其资产负债表如何随着时间的推移而增强(或减弱)。

What About Dividends?

分红呢?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. In the case of Yuhuan CNC Machine ToolLtd, it has a TSR of 58% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

在考虑投资回报时,重要的是要考虑两者之间的区别 股东总回报 (TSR) 和 股价回报。尽管股价回报率仅反映股价的变化,但股东总回报率包括股息的价值(假设已进行再投资)以及任何折扣融资或分拆的收益。可以公平地说,股东总回报率为支付股息的股票提供了更完整的画面。以玉环数控机床有限公司为例,在过去3年的股东总回报率为58%。这超过了我们之前提到的其股价回报率。而且,猜测股息支付在很大程度上解释了这种分歧是没有好处的!

A Different Perspective

不同的视角

While the broader market lost about 16% in the twelve months, Yuhuan CNC Machine ToolLtd shareholders did even worse, losing 20% (even including dividends). However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 1.0% over the last half decade. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Yuhuan CNC Machine ToolLtd better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 5 warning signs with Yuhuan CNC Machine ToolLtd (at least 2 which are a bit concerning) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

尽管整个市场在十二个月中下跌了约16%,但玉环数控机床有限公司股东的表现甚至更糟,损失了20%(甚至包括股息)。但是,可能只是股价受到了更广泛的市场紧张情绪的影响。如果有很好的机会,可能值得关注基本面。不幸的是,去年的表现可能预示着尚未解决的挑战,因为它比过去五年中1.0%的年化亏损还要糟糕。我们意识到罗斯柴尔德男爵曾说过,投资者应该 “在街头流血时买入”,但我们警告说,投资者应首先确保他们购买的是高质量的企业。长期跟踪股价表现总是很有意思的。但是要更好地了解玉环数控机床有限公司,我们需要考虑许多其他因素。例如,投资风险的幽灵无处不在。我们已经向玉环数控机床有限公司确定了5个警告信号(至少有2个有点令人担忧),了解它们应该是您投资过程的一部分。

We will like Yuhuan CNC Machine ToolLtd better if we see some big insider buys. While we wait, check out this free list of growing companies with considerable, recent, insider buying.

如果我们看到一些重大的内幕收购,我们会更喜欢玉环数控机床有限公司。在我们等待的同时,请查看这份免费清单,列出了最近有大量内幕收购的成长型公司。

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

请注意,本文引用的市场回报反映了目前在中国交易所交易的股票的市场加权平均回报。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的这篇文章本质上是笼统的。我们仅使用公正的方法根据历史数据和分析师的预测提供评论,我们的文章无意作为财务建议。它不构成买入或卖出任何股票的建议,也没有考虑到您的目标或财务状况。我们的目标是为您提供由基本数据驱动的长期重点分析。请注意,我们的分析可能不考虑最新的价格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。简而言之,华尔街没有持有任何上述股票的头寸。

声明:本内容仅用作提供资讯及教育之目的,不构成对任何特定投资或投资策略的推荐或认可。 更多信息
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