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More Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Aoyuan Beauty Valley Technology Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:000615) Shares After Tumbling 26%

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 26 17:40

Aoyuan Beauty Valley Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:000615) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 26% share price drop in the last month. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 59% loss during that time.

Even after such a large drop in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Aoyuan Beauty Valley TechnologyLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.7x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Real Estate industry in China, seeing as it matches the P/S ratio of the wider industry. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:000615 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 26th 2024

What Does Aoyuan Beauty Valley TechnologyLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?

The recent revenue growth at Aoyuan Beauty Valley TechnologyLtd would have to be considered satisfactory if not spectacular. Perhaps the expectation moving forward is that the revenue growth will track in line with the wider industry for the near term, which has kept the P/S subdued. If not, then at least existing shareholders probably aren't too pessimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Aoyuan Beauty Valley TechnologyLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Aoyuan Beauty Valley TechnologyLtd?

Aoyuan Beauty Valley TechnologyLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 5.6%. Still, lamentably revenue has fallen 55% in aggregate from three years ago, which is disappointing. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 9.0% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Aoyuan Beauty Valley TechnologyLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Aoyuan Beauty Valley TechnologyLtd's P/S

With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Aoyuan Beauty Valley TechnologyLtd looks to be in line with the rest of the Real Estate industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

The fact that Aoyuan Beauty Valley TechnologyLtd currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Aoyuan Beauty Valley TechnologyLtd that you need to take into consideration.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Aoyuan Beauty Valley TechnologyLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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