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Kunwu Jiuding Investment Holdings Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600053) Shares May Have Slumped 30% But Getting In Cheap Is Still Unlikely

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 25 19:05

Kunwu Jiuding Investment Holdings Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600053) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 30% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. To make matters worse, the recent drop has wiped out a year's worth of gains with the share price now back where it started a year ago.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Capital Markets industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 6x, you may still consider Kunwu Jiuding Investment Holdings as a stock not worth researching with its 25.5x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600053 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 26th 2024

What Does Kunwu Jiuding Investment Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For example, consider that Kunwu Jiuding Investment Holdings' financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Kunwu Jiuding Investment Holdings, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Kunwu Jiuding Investment Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 35% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 85% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 23% shows it's an unpleasant look.

In light of this, it's alarming that Kunwu Jiuding Investment Holdings' P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

Even after such a strong price drop, Kunwu Jiuding Investment Holdings' P/S still exceeds the industry median significantly. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of Kunwu Jiuding Investment Holdings revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Kunwu Jiuding Investment Holdings has 4 warning signs (and 2 which are significant) we think you should know about.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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