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Peking University Resources (Holdings) Company Limited (HKG:618) May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon With Recent 25% Price Plummet

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 25 19:03

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Peking University Resources (Holdings) Company Limited (HKG:618) share price has dived 25% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 54% share price decline.

Even after such a large drop in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Peking University Resources (Holdings)'s price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Real Estate industry in Hong Kong, where the median P/S ratio is around 0.7x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:618 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 26th 2024

How Peking University Resources (Holdings) Has Been Performing

For instance, Peking University Resources (Holdings)'s receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps investors believe the recent revenue performance is enough to keep in line with the industry, which is keeping the P/S from dropping off. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Peking University Resources (Holdings), take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Peking University Resources (Holdings)'s is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 64% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 81% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 8.0% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Peking University Resources (Holdings)'s P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Peking University Resources (Holdings)'s P/S?

Following Peking University Resources (Holdings)'s share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

The fact that Peking University Resources (Holdings) currently trades at a P/S on par with the rest of the industry is surprising to us since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term, all while the industry is set to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Peking University Resources (Holdings) (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Peking University Resources (Holdings), explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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