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Would Shenzhen Huakong Seg (SZSE:000068) Be Better Off With Less Debt?

Would Shenzhen Huakong Seg (SZSE:000068) Be Better Off With Less Debt?

如果減少債務,深圳華控股份(SZSE:000068)的生活會更好嗎?
Simply Wall St ·  02/24 21:10

Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Shenzhen Huakong Seg Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000068) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

禾倫·巴菲特曾說過一句名言:“波動性遠非風險的代名詞。”當我們思考一家公司的風險有多大時,我們總是喜歡考慮其債務的用途,因爲債務過載可能導致破產。我們可以看到,深圳華控賽格有限公司(深圳證券交易所:000068)確實在其業務中使用了債務。但是,股東是否應該擔心其債務的使用?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

債務何時危險?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

一般而言,只有當公司無法通過籌集資金或利用自己的現金流輕鬆償還債務時,債務才會成爲真正的問題。歸根結底,如果公司無法履行償還債務的法律義務,股東可能一無所有地離開。但是,更常見(但仍然代價高昂)的情況是,公司必須以低廉的價格發行股票,永久稀釋股東,以支撐其資產負債表。但是,通過取代稀釋,對於需要資本以高回報率投資增長的企業來說,債務可能是一個非常好的工具。當我們檢查債務水平時,我們首先要同時考慮現金和債務水平。

What Is Shenzhen Huakong Seg's Debt?

深圳華控賽格的債務是多少?

As you can see below, Shenzhen Huakong Seg had CN¥1.53b of debt at September 2023, down from CN¥1.70b a year prior. However, it does have CN¥232.5m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥1.30b.

如下所示,截至2023年9月,深圳華控集團的債務爲15.3億元人民幣,低於去年同期的17.0億元人民幣。但是,它確實有2.325億加元的現金抵消了這一點,淨負債約爲13.0億元人民幣。

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:000068 Debt to Equity History February 25th 2024
SZSE: 000068 2024 年 2 月 25 日債務與股本比率的歷史記錄

How Healthy Is Shenzhen Huakong Seg's Balance Sheet?

深圳華控賽格的資產負債表有多健康?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Shenzhen Huakong Seg had liabilities of CN¥2.14b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥1.18b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥232.5m as well as receivables valued at CN¥890.1m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥2.20b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

根據上次報告的資產負債表,深圳華控賽格在12個月內到期的負債爲21.4億元人民幣,12個月以後到期的負債爲11.8億元人民幣。除這些債務外,它有2.325億元的現金以及價值8.901億元人民幣的應收賬款將在12個月內到期。因此,其負債總額比其現金和短期應收賬款的總額高出22.0億元人民幣。

While this might seem like a lot, it is not so bad since Shenzhen Huakong Seg has a market capitalization of CN¥3.99b, and so it could probably strengthen its balance sheet by raising capital if it needed to. But we definitely want to keep our eyes open to indications that its debt is bringing too much risk. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is Shenzhen Huakong Seg's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

儘管這可能看起來很多,但還不錯,因爲深圳華控賽格的市值爲399億元人民幣,因此如果需要,它可能會通過籌集資金來加強資產負債表。但是,我們絕對希望留意其債務帶來過大風險的跡象。資產負債表顯然是分析債務時需要關注的領域。但是,影響未來資產負債表狀況的是深圳華控賽格的收益。因此,如果你想進一步了解其收益,可能值得看看這張長期收益趨勢圖。

In the last year Shenzhen Huakong Seg had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 29%, to CN¥864m. To be frank that doesn't bode well.

去年,深圳華控賽格在利息和稅前出現虧損,實際收入減少了29%,至8.64億元人民幣。坦率地說,這並不是一個好兆頭。

Caveat Emptor

Caveat Emptor

While Shenzhen Huakong Seg's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. Indeed, it lost CN¥117m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. Surprisingly, we note that it actually reported positive free cash flow of CN¥204m and a profit of CN¥205m. So if we focus on those metrics there seems to be a chance the company will manage its debt without much trouble. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Shenzhen Huakong Seg is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those are potentially serious...

儘管深圳華控賽格收入的下降就像開玩笑一樣令人心動,但可以說,其息稅前收益(EBIT)虧損的吸引力更小。事實上,它在息稅前利潤水平上損失了1.17億元人民幣。當我們審視這一點並回顧其資產負債表上相對於現金的負債時,對我們來說,公司有任何債務似乎是不明智的。坦率地說,我們認爲資產負債表遠非匹配,儘管可以隨着時間的推移而改善。令人驚訝的是,我們注意到它實際上報告的自由現金流爲2.04億元人民幣,利潤爲2.05億元人民幣。因此,如果我們專注於這些指標,公司似乎有可能毫不費力地管理債務。在分析債務水平時,資產負債表是顯而易見的起點。但歸根結底,每家公司都可以控制資產負債表之外存在的風險。請注意,深圳華控賽格在我們的投資分析中顯示出3個警告信號,其中2個可能很嚴重...

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

如果你有興趣投資能夠在沒有債務負擔的情況下增加利潤的企業,請查看這份資產負債表上有淨現金的成長型企業的免費清單。

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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Simply Wall St的這篇文章本質上是籠統的。我們僅使用公正的方法根據歷史數據和分析師的預測提供評論,我們的文章無意作爲財務建議。它不構成買入或賣出任何股票的建議,也沒有考慮到您的目標或財務狀況。我們的目標是爲您提供由基本數據驅動的長期重點分析。請注意,我們的分析可能不考慮最新的價格敏感型公司公告或定性材料。簡而言之,華爾街沒有持有任何上述股票的頭寸。

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