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Minsheng Education Group Company Limited's (HKG:1569) Shares Bounce 29% But Its Business Still Trails The Market

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 23 17:06

Minsheng Education Group Company Limited (HKG:1569) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 29% share price jump in the last month. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 33% in the last twelve months.

Even after such a large jump in price, Minsheng Education Group may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 2.7x, since almost half of all companies in Hong Kong have P/E ratios greater than 9x and even P/E's higher than 18x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.

For example, consider that Minsheng Education Group's financial performance has been poor lately as its earnings have been in decline. It might be that many expect the disappointing earnings performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/E. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1569 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry February 23rd 2024
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Minsheng Education Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Any Growth For Minsheng Education Group?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like Minsheng Education Group's to be considered reasonable.

If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 17%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 14% overall rise in EPS. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would be roughly satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Comparing that to the market, which is predicted to deliver 23% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.

With this information, we can see why Minsheng Education Group is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the bourse.

The Key Takeaway

Minsheng Education Group's recent share price jump still sees its P/E sitting firmly flat on the ground. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

We've established that Minsheng Education Group maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its recent three-year growth being lower than the wider market forecast, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Plus, you should also learn about this 1 warning sign we've spotted with Minsheng Education Group.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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