It's easy to match the overall market return by buying an index fund. While individual stocks can be big winners, plenty more fail to generate satisfactory returns. For example, the GuoCheng Mining CO.,LTD (SZSE:000688) share price is down 45% in the last year. That contrasts poorly with the market decline of 21%. However, the longer term returns haven't been so bad, with the stock down 1.4% in the last three years. Furthermore, it's down 12% in about a quarter. That's not much fun for holders. Of course, this share price action may well have been influenced by the 12% decline in the broader market, throughout the period.
While the stock has risen 4.5% in the past week but long term shareholders are still in the red, let's see what the fundamentals can tell us.
While GuoCheng MiningLTD made a small profit, in the last year, we think that the market is probably more focussed on the top line growth at the moment. As a general rule, we think this kind of company is more comparable to loss-making stocks, since the actual profit is so low. It would be hard to believe in a more profitable future without growing revenues.
In just one year GuoCheng MiningLTD saw its revenue fall by 42%. That looks pretty grim, at a glance. The stock price has languished lately, falling 45% in a year. That seems pretty reasonable given the lack of both profits and revenue growth. It's hard to escape the conclusion that buyers must envision either growth down the track, cost cutting, or both.
The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
Take a more thorough look at GuoCheng MiningLTD's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.
A Different Perspective
While the broader market lost about 21% in the twelve months, GuoCheng MiningLTD shareholders did even worse, losing 45% (even including dividends). However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 4% per year over five years. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Even so, be aware that GuoCheng MiningLTD is showing 4 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 2 of those can't be ignored...
But note: GuoCheng MiningLTD may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.