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Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Berry Genomics Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:000710) 25% Share Price Plunge

なぜ投資家は、ベリージェノミクスの株価が25%急落したことに驚かないべきか

Simply Wall St ·  02/21 17:39

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Berry Genomics Co.,Ltd (SZSE:000710) share price has dived 25% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 46% share price drop.

Since its price has dipped substantially, Berry GenomicsLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.2x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Biotechs industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 6.9x and even P/S above 11x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:000710 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 21st 2024

What Does Berry GenomicsLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?

For instance, Berry GenomicsLtd's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on Berry GenomicsLtd will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Berry GenomicsLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

Berry GenomicsLtd's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 13%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 23% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 753% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this information, we are not surprised that Berry GenomicsLtd is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.

What We Can Learn From Berry GenomicsLtd's P/S?

Having almost fallen off a cliff, Berry GenomicsLtd's share price has pulled its P/S way down as well. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of Berry GenomicsLtd revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Berry GenomicsLtd that you need to take into consideration.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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