When researching a stock for investment, what can tell us that the company is in decline? Typically, we'll see the trend of both return on capital employed (ROCE) declining and this usually coincides with a decreasing amount of capital employed. This indicates the company is producing less profit from its investments and its total assets are decreasing. In light of that, from a first glance at Guomai Technologies (SZSE:002093), we've spotted some signs that it could be struggling, so let's investigate.
Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?
Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for Guomai Technologies:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.027 = CN¥102m ÷ (CN¥4.4b - CN¥658m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).
Thus, Guomai Technologies has an ROCE of 2.7%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the IT industry average of 4.0%.
While the past is not representative of the future, it can be helpful to know how a company has performed historically, which is why we have this chart above. If you'd like to look at how Guomai Technologies has performed in the past in other metrics, you can view this free graph of Guomai Technologies' past earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What Does the ROCE Trend For Guomai Technologies Tell Us?
There is reason to be cautious about Guomai Technologies, given the returns are trending downwards. To be more specific, the ROCE was 3.6% five years ago, but since then it has dropped noticeably. Meanwhile, capital employed in the business has stayed roughly the flat over the period. This combination can be indicative of a mature business that still has areas to deploy capital, but the returns received aren't as high due potentially to new competition or smaller margins. So because these trends aren't typically conducive to creating a multi-bagger, we wouldn't hold our breath on Guomai Technologies becoming one if things continue as they have.
The Bottom Line
In summary, it's unfortunate that Guomai Technologies is generating lower returns from the same amount of capital. Long term shareholders who've owned the stock over the last five years have experienced a 19% depreciation in their investment, so it appears the market might not like these trends either. Unless there is a shift to a more positive trajectory in these metrics, we would look elsewhere.
If you want to continue researching Guomai Technologies, you might be interested to know about the 1 warning sign that our analysis has discovered.
If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.