There's Reason For Concern Over The Children's Place, Inc.'s (NASDAQ:PLCE) Massive 33% Price Jump

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 18 09:28

Despite an already strong run, The Children's Place, Inc. (NASDAQ:PLCE) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 33% in the last thirty days. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 37% over that time.

Even after such a large jump in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Children's Place's P/S ratio of 0.2x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Specialty Retail industry in the United States is also close to 0.4x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

NasdaqGS:PLCE Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 18th 2024

What Does Children's Place's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Children's Place's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. Perhaps the market is expecting its poor revenue performance to improve, keeping the P/S from dropping. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a relatively elevated price for a company with this sort of growth profile.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Children's Place.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Children's Place?

Children's Place's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 8.9%. At least revenue has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing revenue over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest revenue growth is heading into negative territory, declining 1.7% over the next year. That's not great when the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 5.6%.

With this in consideration, we think it doesn't make sense that Children's Place's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. There's a good chance these shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the negative growth outlook.

The Final Word

Children's Place's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our check of Children's Place's analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking revenue isn't bringing down its P/S as much as we would have predicted. When we see a gloomy outlook like this, our immediate thoughts are that the share price is at risk of declining, negatively impacting P/S. If the poor revenue outlook tells us one thing, it's that these current price levels could be unsustainable.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 4 warning signs for Children's Place you should be aware of, and 3 of them are concerning.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Children's Place, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at)
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation or endorsement of any specific investment or investment strategy. Read more
    Write a comment