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Inly Media Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603598) 34% Dip In Price Shows Sentiment Is Matching Revenues

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 14 19:25

Inly Media Co., Ltd. (SHSE:603598) shares have had a horrible month, losing 34% after a relatively good period beforehand. Looking back over the past twelve months the stock has been a solid performer regardless, with a gain of 17%.

Since its price has dipped substantially, Inly Media's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.7x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Media industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 2.4x and even P/S above 5x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:603598 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 15th 2024

What Does Inly Media's Recent Performance Look Like?

It looks like revenue growth has deserted Inly Media recently, which is not something to boast about. Perhaps the market believes the recent lacklustre revenue performance is a sign of future underperformance relative to industry peers, hurting the P/S. Those who are bullish on Inly Media will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Inly Media's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

Inly Media's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any revenue growth to speak of for the company over the past year. The longer-term trend has been no better as the company has no revenue growth to show for over the last three years either. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has definitely eluded the company recently.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 20% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

With this in consideration, it's easy to understand why Inly Media's P/S falls short of the mark set by its industry peers. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Inly Media's P/S?

Inly Media's P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of Inly Media revealed its three-year revenue trends are contributing to its low P/S, given they look worse than current industry expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price experience a reversal of fortunes anytime soon.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Inly Media, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Inly Media, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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