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Investors Give AM Group Holdings Limited (HKG:1849) Shares A 26% Hiding

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 14 17:00

Unfortunately for some shareholders, the AM Group Holdings Limited (HKG:1849) share price has dived 26% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 67% share price decline.

Although its price has dipped substantially, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about AM Group Holdings' P/S ratio of 0.2x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Media industry in Hong Kong is also close to 0.6x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:1849 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 14th 2024

What Does AM Group Holdings' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For example, consider that AM Group Holdings' financial performance has been pretty ordinary lately as revenue growth is non-existent. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think this benign revenue growth rate might not be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be feeling hopeful about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on AM Group Holdings will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For AM Group Holdings?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, AM Group Holdings would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 95% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its uninspiring short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been great for the company, but investors will want to ask why it has slowed to such an extent.

Comparing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory with the industry's one-year growth forecast of 12% shows it's noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's curious that AM Group Holdings' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance is at its limits and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Key Takeaway

Following AM Group Holdings' share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

We didn't quite envision AM Group Holdings' P/S sitting in line with the wider industry, considering the revenue growth over the last three-year is higher than the current industry outlook. It'd be fair to assume that potential risks the company faces could be the contributing factor to the lower than expected P/S. While recent revenue trends over the past medium-term suggest that the risk of a price decline is low, investors appear to see the likelihood of revenue fluctuations in the future.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for AM Group Holdings you should be aware of, and 2 of them are a bit concerning.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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