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Inotiv, Inc. (NASDAQ:NOTV) Shares Fly 34% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth

Simply Wall St ·  Feb 13 06:04

Despite an already strong run, Inotiv, Inc. (NASDAQ:NOTV) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 34% in the last thirty days. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 27% in the last twelve months.

Even after such a large jump in price, Inotiv may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x, since almost half of all companies in the Life Sciences industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 3.6x and even P/S higher than 7x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqCM:NOTV Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 13th 2024

What Does Inotiv's Recent Performance Look Like?

With only a limited decrease in revenue compared to most other companies of late, Inotiv has been doing relatively well. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this relatively better revenue performance might be about to deteriorate significantly. You'd much rather the company continue improving its revenue if you still believe in the business. In saying that, existing shareholders probably aren't pessimistic about the share price if the company's revenue continues outplaying the industry.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Inotiv.

How Is Inotiv's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Inotiv would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that there was hardly any revenue growth to speak of for the company over the past year. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has ballooned by several orders of magnitude, even though the last 12 months were nothing to write home about. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company, but investors will want to ask why it has slowed to such an extent.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 2.7% each year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 6.5% per annum, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we can see why Inotiv is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

What We Can Learn From Inotiv's P/S?

Shares in Inotiv have risen appreciably however, its P/S is still subdued. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Inotiv maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Inotiv (1 is significant!) that you need to take into consideration.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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